The euro has been a success but it has been hampered by structural flaws and reform is slow
Reported by FT.com 3 hours ago.
Unfinished business — Europe’s currency 20 years on
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Paul Pogba praised but pundits call for him to show his form in the big games
With high-flying Tottenham on the horizon and Paris Saint-Germain to come in the Champions League, Pogba has been challenged to dominate matches against the elite sides in Europe.
Reported by MailOnline 2 hours ago.
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Europe's busiest stock market: 37 billion reasons why London is still at the top in the City in 2018
It puts the London Stock Exchange far ahead of Frankfurt, its main Continental rival, which raised just £25.9billion. The activity included 79 companies that floated in London.
Reported by MailOnline 3 hours ago.
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Ukraine's Putschist Regime Planning Belligerent Provocation Along Russia's Border
Ukraine's Putschist Regime Planning Belligerent Provocation Along Russia's Border by Stephen Lendman (stephenlendman.org - Home - Stephen Lendman) The US-installed, Nazi-infested, Kiev regime represents militant fascist extremism in Europe's heartland - supported by Brussels instead of denouncing its illegitimacy and threat to European and world peace.
Reported by PRAVDA 2 hours ago.
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U.S., Europe will matter less in 2019
As 2018 comes to a close, attention turns to what is likely to happen in 2019. I have no idea. But if you follow these questions, you will have your finger on the pulse of the world to come:
Reported by Newsday 2 hours ago.
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Liga MX transfer news: The latest rumors and chisme in Mexican soccer
Is Diego Lainez going to Europe? When will Tata Martino arrive? Is Hector Herrera bound for Serie A? Goal summarizes the transfer talk
Reported by Goal.com 16 minutes ago.
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Luye Pharma Announces Innovative Drug - Risperidone Extended Release Microspheres for Injection has Reached Final Stage of NDA Process
SHANGHAI, Dec. 31, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Luye Pharma Group, an international pharmaceutical company dedicated to the R&D, manufacturing and sale of innovative medications, today announced that it has entered the final stage of New Drug Application (NDA) submissions for the innovative drug, Risperidone Extended Release Microspheres for Injection ('LY03004), after previous positive pre-NDA meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and subsequent related procedures.
Luye Pharma had previously requested an NDA number for LY03004 and received a Pre-Assigned NDA application number (212849) from the FDA in 2018. The submission dossier for LY03004 is completed and being published in eCTD format according to FDA requirements.
Luye Pharma successfully reached an agreement with the FDA to waive all paediatric clinical studies of LY03004, and obtained FDA's approval of using Rykindo^® as LY03004's brand name for the treatment of Schizophrenia or Schizoaffective Disorder.
A senior managing representative at Luye Pharma Group commented: "We have been working diligently on the submission packages, assembling the regulatory, clinical, nonclinical, and most recently, CMC components of LY03004, and plan to submit the formal NDA soon. We expect LY03004 will be launched in the U.S. and China markets by the end of 2019."
In addition to LY03004, Luye Pharma has numerous pipeline projects targeting the central nervous system therapeutic area, for development both in the U.S and European markets, with projects such as Rotigotine extended release microspheres for injection (LY03003) for Parkinson's disease, Ansofaxine Hydrochloride extended release tablets (LY03005) for anti-depression, Rivastigmine multi-day transdermal patch (30410) for mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease, and Paliperidone Palmitate injectable suspension for intramuscular use (LY03010). Moreover, registration of Rivastigmine single-day transdermal patch has already been accepted by National Medicine Products Administration in China.
The registrations of above products are progressing well in strategic markets such as China, the U.S., Europe and Japan, expecting to launch in these countries and further expand into the global market.
*About Luye Pharma Group*
Luye Pharma Group is an international pharmaceutical company dedicated to the R&D, manufacturing and sale of innovative medications. The company has established R&D centers in China, the U.S. and Europe, with a robust pipeline of more than 30 drug candidates in China and more than 10 drug candidates overseas. The company currently has a number of new drugs and new formulations in the central nervous system and oncology therapeutic areas under study in the U.S. and Europe. Luye Pharma has reached a high level international standard in advanced drug delivery technologies such as microspheres, liposomes and transdermal drug delivery systems. The company is forward looking, with strategic development of innovative new compounds and antibodies, gene & cell therapies and smart formulations.
Luye Pharma has set up 7 manufacturing sites with over 30 production lines in total, establishing GMP quality management and international standard control systems. The company offers more than 30 products covering the 4 largest and fastest growing therapeutic areas -- oncology, cardiovascular, metabolism and central nervous system, with business conducted in over 80 countries and regions around the world, including the largest pharmaceutical markets - China, the U.S., Europe and Japan, as well as fast growing emerging markets. Reported by PR Newswire Asia 1 hour ago.
Luye Pharma had previously requested an NDA number for LY03004 and received a Pre-Assigned NDA application number (212849) from the FDA in 2018. The submission dossier for LY03004 is completed and being published in eCTD format according to FDA requirements.
Luye Pharma successfully reached an agreement with the FDA to waive all paediatric clinical studies of LY03004, and obtained FDA's approval of using Rykindo^® as LY03004's brand name for the treatment of Schizophrenia or Schizoaffective Disorder.
A senior managing representative at Luye Pharma Group commented: "We have been working diligently on the submission packages, assembling the regulatory, clinical, nonclinical, and most recently, CMC components of LY03004, and plan to submit the formal NDA soon. We expect LY03004 will be launched in the U.S. and China markets by the end of 2019."
In addition to LY03004, Luye Pharma has numerous pipeline projects targeting the central nervous system therapeutic area, for development both in the U.S and European markets, with projects such as Rotigotine extended release microspheres for injection (LY03003) for Parkinson's disease, Ansofaxine Hydrochloride extended release tablets (LY03005) for anti-depression, Rivastigmine multi-day transdermal patch (30410) for mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease, and Paliperidone Palmitate injectable suspension for intramuscular use (LY03010). Moreover, registration of Rivastigmine single-day transdermal patch has already been accepted by National Medicine Products Administration in China.
The registrations of above products are progressing well in strategic markets such as China, the U.S., Europe and Japan, expecting to launch in these countries and further expand into the global market.
*About Luye Pharma Group*
Luye Pharma Group is an international pharmaceutical company dedicated to the R&D, manufacturing and sale of innovative medications. The company has established R&D centers in China, the U.S. and Europe, with a robust pipeline of more than 30 drug candidates in China and more than 10 drug candidates overseas. The company currently has a number of new drugs and new formulations in the central nervous system and oncology therapeutic areas under study in the U.S. and Europe. Luye Pharma has reached a high level international standard in advanced drug delivery technologies such as microspheres, liposomes and transdermal drug delivery systems. The company is forward looking, with strategic development of innovative new compounds and antibodies, gene & cell therapies and smart formulations.
Luye Pharma has set up 7 manufacturing sites with over 30 production lines in total, establishing GMP quality management and international standard control systems. The company offers more than 30 products covering the 4 largest and fastest growing therapeutic areas -- oncology, cardiovascular, metabolism and central nervous system, with business conducted in over 80 countries and regions around the world, including the largest pharmaceutical markets - China, the U.S., Europe and Japan, as well as fast growing emerging markets. Reported by PR Newswire Asia 1 hour ago.
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Nicola Sturgeon vows to 'protect Scotland's place at the heart of Europe' in New Year message
Scotland's First Minister emphasised the importance of maintaining the country's reputation as a hospitable nation in her New Year message.
Reported by Daily Record 1 hour ago.
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The US In Asia: A Necessary Balancer – Analysis
By Rajesh Rajagopalan
The shock resignation of US Defence Secretary James Mattis and President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw all US forces from Syria and some from Afghanistan has led to additional questions about the US’s global commitments. These were concerns that were already in the air over the last decade but had become even more visible under Trump. But while they may be concerned, Washington’s allies in Asia (and even Europe) are unlikely to fundamentally alter their strategic choices. Facing threats that they cannot manage on their own, they have little choice but to continue to look to Washington.
*This is not the first time that the US is withdrawing from its international commitments when those commitments no longer served its interests. The best example is Taiwan, which Washington basically abandoned in 1979 when it established diplomatic relations with Beijing.*
Today it’s unclear whether the US would come to Taiwan’s aid if the mainland attempts to forcibly integrate it. And of course, the US is not alone in abandoning partners and allies: after bleeding for almost a decade, Moscow decided to leave its clients in Afghanistan to their fate and pulled its forces out in 1989, with predictable results. Great powers are more likely to play such games simply because they have more partners and allies and are involved in more countries and regions of the world. But weaker powers are equally likely to engage in such behavior. Egypt, to give only one example, threw out the Russians in the early 1970s and shifted to the US side when it became clear that Moscow was not going to be much help in making peace with Israel.
Alliances and partnerships in international politics are always matters of convenience and mutual necessity, something that is often overlooked in much of the foreign policy debate in New Delhi. They are always temporary and fragile, with tensions about mutual obligations always present even in the tightest of alliances. While the value of particular commitments – and withdrawal from such commitments – can always be debated, the fragility of such commitments also needs to be kept in mind.
Ideally, most states would rather not align with others because allies understandably are never fully dependable, a potentially dangerous condition in an international order in which every country has to look after its own security. Another danger is that allies can drag you into their conflicts even if these are not in your interests. Despite such dangers, states nevertheless align because power is distributed unequally in the international system, especially within regions. Thus, relatively weaker states have to balance the risks of alignment against the even greater security risks inherent in facing stronger powers all by their lonesome.
Alliance pressures are also different in different types of international orders. Thus, as the international relations theorist Glenn Snyder pointed out decades back, though there are more choices of alliance partners in a multipolar system of many great powers, greater insecurity and the fear of being abandoned by allies tend to lead to tighter alliances. On the other hand, in a bipolar world, fear of being abandoned by allies is lower because alliance choices are just the two great powers, making alignments remarkably stable. But this confidence that alliance partners will be loyal also leads to more autonomous policies, with states adopting “independent, indeed contradictory, policies toward the opponent with little fear that the partner will defect in consequence”. But such a binary view might be somewhat problematic:
*While the pre-first world war multipolar order did lead to tight alliances, the pre-second world order, though also a multipolar one, led to loose “buck-passing” alliance in which allies tried to free-ride rather than help each other.*
A common problem with such a structural view of alliance logic is that it focuses on the choices of the great powers rather than on that of weaker powers. For the latter, the choices are somewhat simpler: if they are pressured by a great power, especially one that happens to be a neighbor, they can either choose to submit or, alternatively, seek a capable ally who is willing to help. Submission may take different forms but in its essence it is better known as ‘Finlandization’, a posture of neutrality bred by massive inequality, fear and proximity. It is a pragmatic and sensible recognition of the strategic reality that the relatively weak face in international politics. But where allies are available, weak states will choose to resist the threats they face because an alliance, even with all of its problems, is a far better option than submission. Most importantly, because weaker powers are bereft of choice, they will be much more forgiving of the follies and foibles of their great power partner, especially in a bipolar system. This is why much of the criticism of the Trump administration finds little policy echo in Asia: not that Washington’s partners in Asia are not concerned about Trump’s apparent unsteadiness, but they recognize that the alternative is far worse.
*Efforts by Asian powers to stabilize their ties with China thus does not reflect a real alternative to Washington. India after Wuhan is one example, with New Delhi warily trying to sharpen its sword even as it seeks to stabilize its China ties. *
Prime Minister Abe in Japan is trying much the same tactic, and to some extent, so is Vietnam. But this will be short-lived because there is little real middle-ground between the demands represented by the threat from China and the security and political concessions these powers can make to mollify it. None of them will submit to China’s hegemony, at least not as long as the American counterbalance exists. Thus, whatever concerns Asian powers may have of Trump’s unsteadiness, these will remain private as they seek a greater US role, not a lesser one. Reported by Eurasia Review 3 hours ago.
The shock resignation of US Defence Secretary James Mattis and President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw all US forces from Syria and some from Afghanistan has led to additional questions about the US’s global commitments. These were concerns that were already in the air over the last decade but had become even more visible under Trump. But while they may be concerned, Washington’s allies in Asia (and even Europe) are unlikely to fundamentally alter their strategic choices. Facing threats that they cannot manage on their own, they have little choice but to continue to look to Washington.
*This is not the first time that the US is withdrawing from its international commitments when those commitments no longer served its interests. The best example is Taiwan, which Washington basically abandoned in 1979 when it established diplomatic relations with Beijing.*
Today it’s unclear whether the US would come to Taiwan’s aid if the mainland attempts to forcibly integrate it. And of course, the US is not alone in abandoning partners and allies: after bleeding for almost a decade, Moscow decided to leave its clients in Afghanistan to their fate and pulled its forces out in 1989, with predictable results. Great powers are more likely to play such games simply because they have more partners and allies and are involved in more countries and regions of the world. But weaker powers are equally likely to engage in such behavior. Egypt, to give only one example, threw out the Russians in the early 1970s and shifted to the US side when it became clear that Moscow was not going to be much help in making peace with Israel.
Alliances and partnerships in international politics are always matters of convenience and mutual necessity, something that is often overlooked in much of the foreign policy debate in New Delhi. They are always temporary and fragile, with tensions about mutual obligations always present even in the tightest of alliances. While the value of particular commitments – and withdrawal from such commitments – can always be debated, the fragility of such commitments also needs to be kept in mind.
Ideally, most states would rather not align with others because allies understandably are never fully dependable, a potentially dangerous condition in an international order in which every country has to look after its own security. Another danger is that allies can drag you into their conflicts even if these are not in your interests. Despite such dangers, states nevertheless align because power is distributed unequally in the international system, especially within regions. Thus, relatively weaker states have to balance the risks of alignment against the even greater security risks inherent in facing stronger powers all by their lonesome.
Alliance pressures are also different in different types of international orders. Thus, as the international relations theorist Glenn Snyder pointed out decades back, though there are more choices of alliance partners in a multipolar system of many great powers, greater insecurity and the fear of being abandoned by allies tend to lead to tighter alliances. On the other hand, in a bipolar world, fear of being abandoned by allies is lower because alliance choices are just the two great powers, making alignments remarkably stable. But this confidence that alliance partners will be loyal also leads to more autonomous policies, with states adopting “independent, indeed contradictory, policies toward the opponent with little fear that the partner will defect in consequence”. But such a binary view might be somewhat problematic:
*While the pre-first world war multipolar order did lead to tight alliances, the pre-second world order, though also a multipolar one, led to loose “buck-passing” alliance in which allies tried to free-ride rather than help each other.*
A common problem with such a structural view of alliance logic is that it focuses on the choices of the great powers rather than on that of weaker powers. For the latter, the choices are somewhat simpler: if they are pressured by a great power, especially one that happens to be a neighbor, they can either choose to submit or, alternatively, seek a capable ally who is willing to help. Submission may take different forms but in its essence it is better known as ‘Finlandization’, a posture of neutrality bred by massive inequality, fear and proximity. It is a pragmatic and sensible recognition of the strategic reality that the relatively weak face in international politics. But where allies are available, weak states will choose to resist the threats they face because an alliance, even with all of its problems, is a far better option than submission. Most importantly, because weaker powers are bereft of choice, they will be much more forgiving of the follies and foibles of their great power partner, especially in a bipolar system. This is why much of the criticism of the Trump administration finds little policy echo in Asia: not that Washington’s partners in Asia are not concerned about Trump’s apparent unsteadiness, but they recognize that the alternative is far worse.
*Efforts by Asian powers to stabilize their ties with China thus does not reflect a real alternative to Washington. India after Wuhan is one example, with New Delhi warily trying to sharpen its sword even as it seeks to stabilize its China ties. *
Prime Minister Abe in Japan is trying much the same tactic, and to some extent, so is Vietnam. But this will be short-lived because there is little real middle-ground between the demands represented by the threat from China and the security and political concessions these powers can make to mollify it. None of them will submit to China’s hegemony, at least not as long as the American counterbalance exists. Thus, whatever concerns Asian powers may have of Trump’s unsteadiness, these will remain private as they seek a greater US role, not a lesser one. Reported by Eurasia Review 3 hours ago.
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Who Will Lead Turkey After Erdogan? – Analysis
By Emir Eksioglu*
Since President Erdogan has been successful in every election he has entered for years, there is a view that “Erdogan will never lose” which is accepted by most of the people in Turkey. This is actually a reasonable view because, despite several adverse events, Erdogan and the AK Party have been superior to the polls for years.
I think that President Erdogan will win the next election, even if he is not as strong as he used to be, as long as his health allows him and he wants to be in the political arena.
But of course, it is a fact that Erdogan is not as powerful as he was a few years ago, and the criticism towards the Erdogan government and the country’s course, including those who voted for him, is too much to be underestimated. We can also understand this from the alliance he had formed with the president of the Nationalist Movement Party, DevletBahçeli, which had criticized him repeatedly in the past.The AK Party, chaired by Erdogan, is no longer a party that will win the elections alone.
But it should also be noted that AK Party is a lucky party. Because, CHP (Republican People’s Party), which has been acting as the main opposition party for years, is not a party that can take over the majority of the people because of its constant chaos, wrong choices and attitudes. You may not be able to see another major opposition party, which draws an amateur image like CHP, in any country of Europe.
As a matter of fact, many secret meetings have been organized with many people who want to be in charge of the country’s government after Erdogan. I want to write the names of the different profiles that could play the first chair in the leadership of Turkey after Erdogan.
**The only one who can win elections against Erdogan**
Meral Akşener, who was elected to the parliament for the first time in 1995, while President Erdogan was the mayor of Istanbul, and served as the first female Minister of Internal Affairs in Turkish history after a year, is a respected name for her political experience by many people today.
In 2001, Akşener, who took part in the founding stages of the AK Party with two names, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Abdullah Gül, who later served as the Prime Minister and the President, left the party as a result of disagreements in the establishment of the AK Party, then turned into a very popular political icon in the Nationalist Movement Party, which is one of the most well-established parties of Turkey.
After the failed election results of the Nationalist Movement Party, where she served as a member of parliament and parliamentary deputy speaker for many years, Akşener, who rolled up her sleeves to become the party’s leader, has formed The Good Party against the obstructions of Devlet Bahçeli, who is thought to run the party with a dictatorial approach by many, and her party achieved a successful result in its first year, surpassing the 10% threshold.
I think Meral Akşener is the only name to win the election against President Erdogan, who has been superior to his rivals in every election for years. Meral Akşener is a politician who is at the forefront with her nationalism but keeps it in a very good balance and she’s not a person like French Marine Le Pen, who has rhetoric towards racism and fascism.
In Turkey, the majority of the population position themselves as the center-right wing and both the AK Party and most of the political parties that have been successful in the past are center-right parties. Meral Akşener is a figure who is positioned in the center-right wing, but she is also a strong social democrat leader with strong rhetoric and sympathetic attitude.
I can already say that Meral Akşener will continue her successful political graphics and that one day she will be at the highest level of Turkish politics, although she is subjected to a great deal of pressure from her party and her rise.
**He loves Erdogan and the people love him**
Suleyman Soylu, who was the president of the Democratic Party, which had an important place in Turkish political history in the past as it elected three presidents and seven prime ministers, became one of the most trusted names of President Erdogan after a few years, even though he did politics in opposition to Erdogan and the AK Party at the time.
Suleyman Soylu, who currently serves as the Minister of Internal Affairs, is one of the most respected names of the nationalist-conservative wing, just like Meral Akşener. Especially in recent years, his successful and determined struggle against the PKK, the terrorist organization that committed numerous murders in Turkey and his being in the forefront of positive developments regarding internal security has gained Suleyman Soylu a very positive sympathy by the Turkish people.
However, the possibility of Minister Soylu taking over the leadership of Turkey does not seem to be much at the moment, because Minister Soylu, who has expressed his loyalty to Erdogan at every opportunity, cannot make such a move when Erdogan is still the President. He even made it clear that he was planning to leave politics after Erdogan on a TV show he attended on CNN. But of course, there is a saying in our country that “A period of 24 hours is a very long time for politics” and we can see that Soylu to make a move for leading Turkey after Erdogan.
Besides, I have to say that apart from Suleyman Soylu, politicians who are currently working at the AK Party will crave for their seats in the AK Party in a possible disintegration process because, people, who have the qualities of leadership to meet the demands of the people like Erdogan, do not take part in the AKP positions.
**Perhaps the only hope of the left in Turkey**
As I mentioned before, if we look at the dynamics of Turkey, it is a very low possibility that a power with the left understanding rule the country, but MuharremInce, who is backed by the social democratic masses against Erdogan in the presidential election on June 24, 2018, and who has the characteristics of a leader that has been longed for years, is the strongest name on the left that can change this dynamic.
It would not be wrong to say that Ince, who served as a member of the Republican People’s Party (CHP) since 2002 when AK Party came to power, is Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu’s biggest rival, who has been sitting in the chair of the general presidency for years despite the party’s failed results. Although MuharremInce, who has been competing against Kılıçdaroğlu at every CHP congress in recent times, has not yet achieved this goal, but he is the is the most important name forcing Kılıçdaroğlu to resign and it will be a development that we can see very soon.
MuharremInce, who has already declared that he will be a candidate for the presidency in the elections after five years, has carried out a successful work in the elections a few months ago. Despite the intense love of those who voted for him, he got 30% and fell below Erdogan’s 52% electoral success.
To become the leader of Turkey, Ince has to step up on this rate and gain the sympathy of the right wing in Turkey. This is difficult, but with its political attitude and populist style, Ince can achieve it.
**Turkish people may need the experience and knowledge of their former prime minister**
Ahmet Davutoglu, who was one of the most important figures of the AK Party until a few years ago and who was both the president of AK Party, and the Prime Minister of Turkey between 2014 and 2016, is a name with a reputation in AK Party although he had to resign as a result of a ridiculous statement published by several media oligarchs in Turkey.
It would not be wrong to say that Davutoglu, who has not met with Erdogan in any way lately, has withdrawn into his shell because he is not as active in political developments as he used to be. I think that Davutoglu, who is said to be founding a strong political party against Erdogan from time to time, should carry out an active and correct opposition policy against Erdogan in order to become Turkey’s leader after Erdogan because, so to speak, it is not possible for the people to sympathize with the return of a name that is scratched and forced to withdraw to his shell by Erdogan to active politics after Erdogan.
However, Davutoglu, who is touted as Ahmet Hodja in the conservative sector, is one of the most experienced politicians in the country and is always a name that is likely to be re-elected to the top seat. One of Davutoglu’s greatest advantages will be the support given to him by some of the prominent figures who have successfully taken part in Turkish politics.
**There are other alternatives as well**
As we often see in Turkish political history, a name that is not known very much, may show up suddenly and become the leader of the country. So even though I can guess a few names, we should not forget that it may not be possible.
For example, Cihangir Islam, who is preparing to succeed the wise leader of Felicity Party that once came to power, Temel Karamollaoğlu, is a new hope of the highly conservative group in Turkey, even if he is far from his former power. Islam, who maintained his medical success in parliament and made a good opposition, will be one of the most remarkable figures of the parliament until the next general elections scheduled to take place in 2023.At the same time, he is a politician with a vision that can move Felicity Party and its masses, which is declared as reaction istby some people, to a lot of innovations and to get votes from the voters who are opposed to him.
If the wave of young leadership spreads to Turkey as it did with Macron in France, with Kurzin Austria, with Trudeau in Canada and with Tsipras in Greece, Faik Tunay, who became a CHP deputy at a young age, is also a name that can play first chair even though he is of central right origin. Tunay’s strong international connections and his ability to speak many important languages will be a great advantage for him and for his leadership of Turkey. Although Tunay has not been seen much in the political arena lately, it is quite likely that he will progress in the right direction at the right time, using his young age’s advantage.
Of course, even if they haven’t been involved in politics until now, the successful names of the business world can step in this direction in a possible conjuncture. Ali Koç, who is the member of the country’s richest and most respected family, is the first to come to mind in this direction although he is dealing with the very unsuccessful outcomes of the football club he is currently president of. Although he has repeatedly stated that he does not intend to enter politics, he is a businessman who can be accepted by the public with his charisma and success. In the past, we have witnessed ultra-rich names such as Cem Uzan and Cem Boyner enter into politics and fail. Ali Koç, on the contrary, can be an example of success.
In conclusion, I should say that the emergence of a successful name from the business world to the leadership of Turkey will not produce as negative results as in the case of Trump, the first example in the world that comes to mind. At least in the international perspective.
**About the author:* Emir Eksioglu, is a journalist and an entrepreneur. Previously, he published articles in important institutions such as Times of Israel, Huff Post, U.S. News, GQ, Tehran Times, Cumhuriyet and was introduced as the youngest media boss thanks to some of his investments in Turkey. His articles have been translated into numerous languages despite his young age. He has many initiatives in technology and media fields.
*Source:* This article was published by Modern Diplomacy Reported by Eurasia Review 3 hours ago.
Since President Erdogan has been successful in every election he has entered for years, there is a view that “Erdogan will never lose” which is accepted by most of the people in Turkey. This is actually a reasonable view because, despite several adverse events, Erdogan and the AK Party have been superior to the polls for years.
I think that President Erdogan will win the next election, even if he is not as strong as he used to be, as long as his health allows him and he wants to be in the political arena.
But of course, it is a fact that Erdogan is not as powerful as he was a few years ago, and the criticism towards the Erdogan government and the country’s course, including those who voted for him, is too much to be underestimated. We can also understand this from the alliance he had formed with the president of the Nationalist Movement Party, DevletBahçeli, which had criticized him repeatedly in the past.The AK Party, chaired by Erdogan, is no longer a party that will win the elections alone.
But it should also be noted that AK Party is a lucky party. Because, CHP (Republican People’s Party), which has been acting as the main opposition party for years, is not a party that can take over the majority of the people because of its constant chaos, wrong choices and attitudes. You may not be able to see another major opposition party, which draws an amateur image like CHP, in any country of Europe.
As a matter of fact, many secret meetings have been organized with many people who want to be in charge of the country’s government after Erdogan. I want to write the names of the different profiles that could play the first chair in the leadership of Turkey after Erdogan.
**The only one who can win elections against Erdogan**
Meral Akşener, who was elected to the parliament for the first time in 1995, while President Erdogan was the mayor of Istanbul, and served as the first female Minister of Internal Affairs in Turkish history after a year, is a respected name for her political experience by many people today.
In 2001, Akşener, who took part in the founding stages of the AK Party with two names, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Abdullah Gül, who later served as the Prime Minister and the President, left the party as a result of disagreements in the establishment of the AK Party, then turned into a very popular political icon in the Nationalist Movement Party, which is one of the most well-established parties of Turkey.
After the failed election results of the Nationalist Movement Party, where she served as a member of parliament and parliamentary deputy speaker for many years, Akşener, who rolled up her sleeves to become the party’s leader, has formed The Good Party against the obstructions of Devlet Bahçeli, who is thought to run the party with a dictatorial approach by many, and her party achieved a successful result in its first year, surpassing the 10% threshold.
I think Meral Akşener is the only name to win the election against President Erdogan, who has been superior to his rivals in every election for years. Meral Akşener is a politician who is at the forefront with her nationalism but keeps it in a very good balance and she’s not a person like French Marine Le Pen, who has rhetoric towards racism and fascism.
In Turkey, the majority of the population position themselves as the center-right wing and both the AK Party and most of the political parties that have been successful in the past are center-right parties. Meral Akşener is a figure who is positioned in the center-right wing, but she is also a strong social democrat leader with strong rhetoric and sympathetic attitude.
I can already say that Meral Akşener will continue her successful political graphics and that one day she will be at the highest level of Turkish politics, although she is subjected to a great deal of pressure from her party and her rise.
**He loves Erdogan and the people love him**
Suleyman Soylu, who was the president of the Democratic Party, which had an important place in Turkish political history in the past as it elected three presidents and seven prime ministers, became one of the most trusted names of President Erdogan after a few years, even though he did politics in opposition to Erdogan and the AK Party at the time.
Suleyman Soylu, who currently serves as the Minister of Internal Affairs, is one of the most respected names of the nationalist-conservative wing, just like Meral Akşener. Especially in recent years, his successful and determined struggle against the PKK, the terrorist organization that committed numerous murders in Turkey and his being in the forefront of positive developments regarding internal security has gained Suleyman Soylu a very positive sympathy by the Turkish people.
However, the possibility of Minister Soylu taking over the leadership of Turkey does not seem to be much at the moment, because Minister Soylu, who has expressed his loyalty to Erdogan at every opportunity, cannot make such a move when Erdogan is still the President. He even made it clear that he was planning to leave politics after Erdogan on a TV show he attended on CNN. But of course, there is a saying in our country that “A period of 24 hours is a very long time for politics” and we can see that Soylu to make a move for leading Turkey after Erdogan.
Besides, I have to say that apart from Suleyman Soylu, politicians who are currently working at the AK Party will crave for their seats in the AK Party in a possible disintegration process because, people, who have the qualities of leadership to meet the demands of the people like Erdogan, do not take part in the AKP positions.
**Perhaps the only hope of the left in Turkey**
As I mentioned before, if we look at the dynamics of Turkey, it is a very low possibility that a power with the left understanding rule the country, but MuharremInce, who is backed by the social democratic masses against Erdogan in the presidential election on June 24, 2018, and who has the characteristics of a leader that has been longed for years, is the strongest name on the left that can change this dynamic.
It would not be wrong to say that Ince, who served as a member of the Republican People’s Party (CHP) since 2002 when AK Party came to power, is Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu’s biggest rival, who has been sitting in the chair of the general presidency for years despite the party’s failed results. Although MuharremInce, who has been competing against Kılıçdaroğlu at every CHP congress in recent times, has not yet achieved this goal, but he is the is the most important name forcing Kılıçdaroğlu to resign and it will be a development that we can see very soon.
MuharremInce, who has already declared that he will be a candidate for the presidency in the elections after five years, has carried out a successful work in the elections a few months ago. Despite the intense love of those who voted for him, he got 30% and fell below Erdogan’s 52% electoral success.
To become the leader of Turkey, Ince has to step up on this rate and gain the sympathy of the right wing in Turkey. This is difficult, but with its political attitude and populist style, Ince can achieve it.
**Turkish people may need the experience and knowledge of their former prime minister**
Ahmet Davutoglu, who was one of the most important figures of the AK Party until a few years ago and who was both the president of AK Party, and the Prime Minister of Turkey between 2014 and 2016, is a name with a reputation in AK Party although he had to resign as a result of a ridiculous statement published by several media oligarchs in Turkey.
It would not be wrong to say that Davutoglu, who has not met with Erdogan in any way lately, has withdrawn into his shell because he is not as active in political developments as he used to be. I think that Davutoglu, who is said to be founding a strong political party against Erdogan from time to time, should carry out an active and correct opposition policy against Erdogan in order to become Turkey’s leader after Erdogan because, so to speak, it is not possible for the people to sympathize with the return of a name that is scratched and forced to withdraw to his shell by Erdogan to active politics after Erdogan.
However, Davutoglu, who is touted as Ahmet Hodja in the conservative sector, is one of the most experienced politicians in the country and is always a name that is likely to be re-elected to the top seat. One of Davutoglu’s greatest advantages will be the support given to him by some of the prominent figures who have successfully taken part in Turkish politics.
**There are other alternatives as well**
As we often see in Turkish political history, a name that is not known very much, may show up suddenly and become the leader of the country. So even though I can guess a few names, we should not forget that it may not be possible.
For example, Cihangir Islam, who is preparing to succeed the wise leader of Felicity Party that once came to power, Temel Karamollaoğlu, is a new hope of the highly conservative group in Turkey, even if he is far from his former power. Islam, who maintained his medical success in parliament and made a good opposition, will be one of the most remarkable figures of the parliament until the next general elections scheduled to take place in 2023.At the same time, he is a politician with a vision that can move Felicity Party and its masses, which is declared as reaction istby some people, to a lot of innovations and to get votes from the voters who are opposed to him.
If the wave of young leadership spreads to Turkey as it did with Macron in France, with Kurzin Austria, with Trudeau in Canada and with Tsipras in Greece, Faik Tunay, who became a CHP deputy at a young age, is also a name that can play first chair even though he is of central right origin. Tunay’s strong international connections and his ability to speak many important languages will be a great advantage for him and for his leadership of Turkey. Although Tunay has not been seen much in the political arena lately, it is quite likely that he will progress in the right direction at the right time, using his young age’s advantage.
Of course, even if they haven’t been involved in politics until now, the successful names of the business world can step in this direction in a possible conjuncture. Ali Koç, who is the member of the country’s richest and most respected family, is the first to come to mind in this direction although he is dealing with the very unsuccessful outcomes of the football club he is currently president of. Although he has repeatedly stated that he does not intend to enter politics, he is a businessman who can be accepted by the public with his charisma and success. In the past, we have witnessed ultra-rich names such as Cem Uzan and Cem Boyner enter into politics and fail. Ali Koç, on the contrary, can be an example of success.
In conclusion, I should say that the emergence of a successful name from the business world to the leadership of Turkey will not produce as negative results as in the case of Trump, the first example in the world that comes to mind. At least in the international perspective.
**About the author:* Emir Eksioglu, is a journalist and an entrepreneur. Previously, he published articles in important institutions such as Times of Israel, Huff Post, U.S. News, GQ, Tehran Times, Cumhuriyet and was introduced as the youngest media boss thanks to some of his investments in Turkey. His articles have been translated into numerous languages despite his young age. He has many initiatives in technology and media fields.
*Source:* This article was published by Modern Diplomacy Reported by Eurasia Review 3 hours ago.
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New Genes For Ancient Hindus And Jews – OpEd
New research using ancient DNA is rewriting the genetic history of two ancient peoples; the Hindus and the Jews – and shows that their two religious civilization are the result of multiple ancient ethnic migrations; into the Land of India in the case of the Hindus, and into diaspora Jewish communities in the case of the Jewish People.
First the Hindus. According to Tony Joseph, author of “Early Indians’’, Hindu nationalists believe the source of Indian civilization were the people who called themselves Aryans – a nomadic tribe of horse-riding, cattle-rearing warriors and herders who composed Hinduism’s oldest religious texts, the Vedas. Aryans, they argue, originated within the Land of India, spreading themselves and their family of Indo-European languages across large parts of Asia and Europe.
Many Indian scholars question the “out of India” thesis, arguing that Indo-European language speakers – or Aryans – were just one of many streams of prehistoric migrants who came into India after the decline of the much earlier Harappan (or Indus Valley) civilization, which thrived in what is now north-western India and Pakistan around the same time as the early Egyptians and Mesopotamians.
Hindu right-wingers believe the Harappan civilization was also an Aryan or Vedic civilization; but none of their languages have been deciphered so no one knows what language they spoke.
Now studies using ancient DNA are rewriting world history, and especially for the Hindu and Jewish Peoples, there have been many fascinating discoveries.
The most recent study on this subject, led by geneticist David Reich of Harvard University, who had also studied the genetic evolution of the Jewish People, was published in March 2018 and co-authored by 92 scholars from all over the world – many of them leading names in disciplines as diverse as genetics, history, archaeology and anthropology.
The study showed that in the last 8,000 years there were two major migrations into, and not out of. India. The first one originated from the Zagros region in south-western Iran (which has the world’s first evidence for goat domestication) and brought agriculturists, most likely herders, to India.
This would have been between 6,000 and 3,000 BCE. These Zagrosian herders mixed with the earlier inhabitants of the subcontinent – the First Indians, descendants of the Out of Africa (OoA) migrants who had reached India around 65,000 years ago – and together, they created the Harappan civilization.
In the centuries after 2000 BCE came the second set of immigrants (the Aryans) from the Eurasian Steppe lands, probably from Kazakhstan who brought with them an early version of Sanskrit, mastery over horses and new cultural and religious practices, all of which formed the basis of early Hindu/Vedic culture.
A thousand years earlier these Aryan peoples from the Eurasian Steppe lands had moved into Europe, mixing with agriculturists there, and spreading Indo-European languages into Europe.
Other genetic studies have brought to light more migrations into India, such as that of the speakers of Austro-Asiatic languages who came from south-eastern Asia. Thus India’s population is made up of a number of different layers added at different times.
As Tony Joseph writes in his book “Early Indians’’, the Indian population is like a pizza, with the first Indians forming its base. Though the base is thin in some places and thicker in others, studies show that 50% to 65% of the genetic ancestry of almost all Indians derives from the First Indians.
On top of the base comes the sauce – the Harappans. Then come the various toppings and the cheese – the Austro-Asiatic, Tibeto-Burman and Indo-European language speakers or Aryans, all of whom found their way into the subcontinent later.
Hindu nationalists will not admit that the Aryans were not the first inhabitants of India; and that the Harappan civilization existed long before their arrival for it would mean acknowledging that Aryans or their Vedic culture were not the singular fountainhead of Indian civilization.
The idea of the mixing of different population groups is even more unappealing to Orthodox Hindus and Hindu nationalists as they put a premium on racial purity. Plus the migration theory puts Aryans on the same footing as latter-day Muslim conquerors of India – such as the Mughals.
Some Hindu nationalists demand that the Harappan civilization be renamed the Saraswati river civilization. Since the Saraswati is mentioned in the Rig Vedic, such a renaming would serve to emphasize the link between Harappan civilization and the Aryans.
However, Tony Joseph says the real message that the new research carries is an exciting and hopeful one: that Indians have created a long-lasting civilization from a variety of heredities and histories. The genius of the Indian civilization during its best periods has been inclusion, not exclusion. Unity in diversity is, indeed, the central theme of India’s genetic make-up.
Now to the Jewish People. I would say that the same thing can also be said for the Jewish people in the 2500 years since the Babylonian exile. After all, are all present day Jews really the biological descendants of the Jews who inhabited the Land of Israel 3.000 years ago?
Yes and No. A new genetic analysis supports the historical record of Middle Eastern Jews settling in North Africa during Classical Antiquity, actively proselytizing and marrying local populations, and, in the process, forming distinct populations that later stayed largely intact for over 1500 years.
The study was published online August 6, 2012 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. “Our new findings define North African Jews, and enhance the case for a biological basis for Jewishness,” said study leader Harry Ostrer, M.D., professor of pathology, genetics and pediatrics at Albert Einstein College of Medicine of Yeshiva University.
However, as anyone who has been to present day Israel knows, Jews come in many shades and looks. This is because even in the diaspora, and even against the will of the ruling religious authorities, Jews have quietly welcomed converts into the Jewish community, even against the formal rules of medieval rabbis. That is why most Jews in different geographical locations tend to look similar to the local majority after several generations.
The rabbinical rule that one should not refer to any Jew’s convert status is evidence of the desire of Jewish leaders to keep proselytizing activities secret from the non-Jewish ruling religious authorities..
In a previous genetic analysis, the researchers showed that modern-day Sephardic (Greek and Turkish), Ashkenazi (Eastern European) and Mizrahi (Iranian, Iraqi and Syrian) Jews that originated in Europe and the Middle East are more related to each other than to their contemporary non-Jewish neighbors, with each group forming its own cluster within the larger Jewish population.
Further, each of the four geographical groups genes, demonstrated Middle-Eastern ancestry, plus varying degrees of inclusion of converts to Judaism from the surrounding populations. This is true even though two of the major Jewish populations — Middle Eastern and European Jews — were found to have diverged from each other approximately 2,500 years ago.
The current study which extended the analysis to North African Jews, the second largest Jewish Diaspora group found that they also were more related to each other than to their contemporary non-Jewish North African neighbors.
The current study also included members of Jewish communities in Ethiopia, Yemen and Georgia. In all, the researchers analyzed the genetic make-up of 509 Jews from 15 populations along with genetic data on 114 individuals from seven North African non-Jewish populations.
North African Jews exhibited a high degree of endogamy, or marriage within their own religious group in accordance with Jewish custom. Ethiopian and Yemenite Jewish populations also formed distinctive genetically linked clusters, as did Georgian Jews.
So I would also say that the real message that the new genetic research carries is an exciting and hopeful one: that Jews have created a long-lasting civilization from a variety of ethnic and racial heredities and national histories. The genius of the Jewish civilization during its best periods has been inclusion, not exclusion.
Unity in diversity is the central theme of the Jewish People’s genetic historical make-up, and should inspire Israel’s political leadership to do everything necessary to encourage non-Jews living in Israel to become Jewish.
While the inhabitants of the Indian sub-continent, like those of China, have always outnumbered their conquerors, and thus been able to absorb them; the Jewish diaspora has always been a small minority, so opposition to ‘outreach’ may have been a wise precaution then.
But it is very counter-productive now, when Jews are a majority in Israel. Orthodox unwillingness to increase the number of non-Orthodox Jews by accepting Conservative and Reform converts is planting the seeds for major divisiveness in Israel’s future. Reported by Eurasia Review 3 hours ago.
First the Hindus. According to Tony Joseph, author of “Early Indians’’, Hindu nationalists believe the source of Indian civilization were the people who called themselves Aryans – a nomadic tribe of horse-riding, cattle-rearing warriors and herders who composed Hinduism’s oldest religious texts, the Vedas. Aryans, they argue, originated within the Land of India, spreading themselves and their family of Indo-European languages across large parts of Asia and Europe.
Many Indian scholars question the “out of India” thesis, arguing that Indo-European language speakers – or Aryans – were just one of many streams of prehistoric migrants who came into India after the decline of the much earlier Harappan (or Indus Valley) civilization, which thrived in what is now north-western India and Pakistan around the same time as the early Egyptians and Mesopotamians.
Hindu right-wingers believe the Harappan civilization was also an Aryan or Vedic civilization; but none of their languages have been deciphered so no one knows what language they spoke.
Now studies using ancient DNA are rewriting world history, and especially for the Hindu and Jewish Peoples, there have been many fascinating discoveries.
The most recent study on this subject, led by geneticist David Reich of Harvard University, who had also studied the genetic evolution of the Jewish People, was published in March 2018 and co-authored by 92 scholars from all over the world – many of them leading names in disciplines as diverse as genetics, history, archaeology and anthropology.
The study showed that in the last 8,000 years there were two major migrations into, and not out of. India. The first one originated from the Zagros region in south-western Iran (which has the world’s first evidence for goat domestication) and brought agriculturists, most likely herders, to India.
This would have been between 6,000 and 3,000 BCE. These Zagrosian herders mixed with the earlier inhabitants of the subcontinent – the First Indians, descendants of the Out of Africa (OoA) migrants who had reached India around 65,000 years ago – and together, they created the Harappan civilization.
In the centuries after 2000 BCE came the second set of immigrants (the Aryans) from the Eurasian Steppe lands, probably from Kazakhstan who brought with them an early version of Sanskrit, mastery over horses and new cultural and religious practices, all of which formed the basis of early Hindu/Vedic culture.
A thousand years earlier these Aryan peoples from the Eurasian Steppe lands had moved into Europe, mixing with agriculturists there, and spreading Indo-European languages into Europe.
Other genetic studies have brought to light more migrations into India, such as that of the speakers of Austro-Asiatic languages who came from south-eastern Asia. Thus India’s population is made up of a number of different layers added at different times.
As Tony Joseph writes in his book “Early Indians’’, the Indian population is like a pizza, with the first Indians forming its base. Though the base is thin in some places and thicker in others, studies show that 50% to 65% of the genetic ancestry of almost all Indians derives from the First Indians.
On top of the base comes the sauce – the Harappans. Then come the various toppings and the cheese – the Austro-Asiatic, Tibeto-Burman and Indo-European language speakers or Aryans, all of whom found their way into the subcontinent later.
Hindu nationalists will not admit that the Aryans were not the first inhabitants of India; and that the Harappan civilization existed long before their arrival for it would mean acknowledging that Aryans or their Vedic culture were not the singular fountainhead of Indian civilization.
The idea of the mixing of different population groups is even more unappealing to Orthodox Hindus and Hindu nationalists as they put a premium on racial purity. Plus the migration theory puts Aryans on the same footing as latter-day Muslim conquerors of India – such as the Mughals.
Some Hindu nationalists demand that the Harappan civilization be renamed the Saraswati river civilization. Since the Saraswati is mentioned in the Rig Vedic, such a renaming would serve to emphasize the link between Harappan civilization and the Aryans.
However, Tony Joseph says the real message that the new research carries is an exciting and hopeful one: that Indians have created a long-lasting civilization from a variety of heredities and histories. The genius of the Indian civilization during its best periods has been inclusion, not exclusion. Unity in diversity is, indeed, the central theme of India’s genetic make-up.
Now to the Jewish People. I would say that the same thing can also be said for the Jewish people in the 2500 years since the Babylonian exile. After all, are all present day Jews really the biological descendants of the Jews who inhabited the Land of Israel 3.000 years ago?
Yes and No. A new genetic analysis supports the historical record of Middle Eastern Jews settling in North Africa during Classical Antiquity, actively proselytizing and marrying local populations, and, in the process, forming distinct populations that later stayed largely intact for over 1500 years.
The study was published online August 6, 2012 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. “Our new findings define North African Jews, and enhance the case for a biological basis for Jewishness,” said study leader Harry Ostrer, M.D., professor of pathology, genetics and pediatrics at Albert Einstein College of Medicine of Yeshiva University.
However, as anyone who has been to present day Israel knows, Jews come in many shades and looks. This is because even in the diaspora, and even against the will of the ruling religious authorities, Jews have quietly welcomed converts into the Jewish community, even against the formal rules of medieval rabbis. That is why most Jews in different geographical locations tend to look similar to the local majority after several generations.
The rabbinical rule that one should not refer to any Jew’s convert status is evidence of the desire of Jewish leaders to keep proselytizing activities secret from the non-Jewish ruling religious authorities..
In a previous genetic analysis, the researchers showed that modern-day Sephardic (Greek and Turkish), Ashkenazi (Eastern European) and Mizrahi (Iranian, Iraqi and Syrian) Jews that originated in Europe and the Middle East are more related to each other than to their contemporary non-Jewish neighbors, with each group forming its own cluster within the larger Jewish population.
Further, each of the four geographical groups genes, demonstrated Middle-Eastern ancestry, plus varying degrees of inclusion of converts to Judaism from the surrounding populations. This is true even though two of the major Jewish populations — Middle Eastern and European Jews — were found to have diverged from each other approximately 2,500 years ago.
The current study which extended the analysis to North African Jews, the second largest Jewish Diaspora group found that they also were more related to each other than to their contemporary non-Jewish North African neighbors.
The current study also included members of Jewish communities in Ethiopia, Yemen and Georgia. In all, the researchers analyzed the genetic make-up of 509 Jews from 15 populations along with genetic data on 114 individuals from seven North African non-Jewish populations.
North African Jews exhibited a high degree of endogamy, or marriage within their own religious group in accordance with Jewish custom. Ethiopian and Yemenite Jewish populations also formed distinctive genetically linked clusters, as did Georgian Jews.
So I would also say that the real message that the new genetic research carries is an exciting and hopeful one: that Jews have created a long-lasting civilization from a variety of ethnic and racial heredities and national histories. The genius of the Jewish civilization during its best periods has been inclusion, not exclusion.
Unity in diversity is the central theme of the Jewish People’s genetic historical make-up, and should inspire Israel’s political leadership to do everything necessary to encourage non-Jews living in Israel to become Jewish.
While the inhabitants of the Indian sub-continent, like those of China, have always outnumbered their conquerors, and thus been able to absorb them; the Jewish diaspora has always been a small minority, so opposition to ‘outreach’ may have been a wise precaution then.
But it is very counter-productive now, when Jews are a majority in Israel. Orthodox unwillingness to increase the number of non-Orthodox Jews by accepting Conservative and Reform converts is planting the seeds for major divisiveness in Israel’s future. Reported by Eurasia Review 3 hours ago.
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Sydney to kick off global NY parties with dazzling spectacle
The party atmosphere will sweep across major cities in Asia, Europe, Africa and the Americas as the clock ticks past midnight.
Reported by Khaleej Times 2 hours ago.
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#1 on Google for her Psychic Predictions in 2017: She Predicted Donald Trump as President in 2015 What's Kelle Sutliff's Predictions for 2019
Kelle Sutliff is a Psychic Medium, Author and Guest Radio Host. She does readings for clients all over the world and every year she predicts the upcoming years events with much accuracy. She even predicted the Clinton/Trump ticket with a Trump win as documented in The Boston Herald in 2015. Sutliff also uses her gifts to help find the missing. 2019 is one year that will not be boring. Its a year of expression.
BOSTON (PRWEB) December 30, 2018
Kelle Sutliff, professional psychic medium of almost 20 years, creates her predictions for 2019. Sutliff was the number 1 Google searched psychic medium for her predictions out of 1.4 million psychics in the world. She predicted Donald Trump as the 45th president in Nov. 2015. Her predictions revolve around the world, businesses, economy, politics, etc. Sutliff has a lot in store with her 2019 predictions.
“2019 is a 3 Energy year in Numerology and will not be boring by any means. It’s a year of expression and how we communicate our truth and express our truth. Honesty is the best policy and you won’t get away with any lying. The truth will always come out and communications on all levels are important. It’s a great time to be creative, expressive and have fun. It is important to have grace and honor in this expressive year” says Sutliff. https://psychicmediumkelle.com.
Sovereignty is the big word for 2019! You will see least costly strategy for governments, business and personal relationships to come together. Interdependence sovereignty of actual control over state borders will become important all over the world, not just in the United States. State taxes in AZ and TX help assist in protecting their own states, not just at the federal level. This will keep their borders safe for their state communities, and the Federal Government will be giving possible tax breaks with assistance to those communities. The whole border control system will change especially around the time frame of June. It’s not about building “a wall” it is about sovereign dignity to the people who live in the United States and other countries. All nations around the world will be building their sovereignty too.
Business: Tech companies will have a big boom, and look for mergers in this industry especially more so than usual. Companies like Facebook will start to fade out with new companies that start to trend emerge. Any business that assists the elderly is a great investment or start up venture. Look for businesses in the community that help take care of brain disorder/disability of patients to emerge. More building and construction continues around the world, as it will be booming for the next five years, so get ready for lots of delays while traveling. There will be new bridges being built everywhere around the world. It is a great time to work in the trades. Look UP! Space Exploration is on the rise for many countries. It will be competitive amongst everyone. The US will be a leader in space exploration and women scientists will be behind this.
Economy: 2019 will be known as “The Trump Economy” as the economy booms with jobs in the U.S and the GDP still rising to 3.7% or higher, people will see their investments improve. Trade sanctions will play a role in settling the market down towards the middle of the year, but slow and steady will win the race. Family income will continue to exceed and improve in the United States. You will see percentage rates soar into the 90 to 98 percent rate; something the US has not experienced in over 10 years. Jobs will be plenty, so no excuse not to work.
Europe Economy: Look at the year 1973 as this past history is similar is what happens in European countries. They need to be careful for inflation opportunities especially in United Kingdom, France, Russia and Italy. Tax breaks will help keep this at bay. The oil gas crisis was a huge indicator in France recently that the government needs to respect its people and not use them. You will see more riots/protests around the economy throughout this destabilization. The fall of 2019 objectives get better and tax breaks are given to get their economy moving. You will see more countries moving away from the aid of others and take their own sovereign nations more seriously. The United States will continue to put the U.S. first. https://psychicmediumkelle.com.
Who is out in politics?: Theresa May Prime Minister will continue her duties, but she does not finish the run. There will be a man with strong banking background to pull their economy back. He has an S in his name, possibly Sajid Javid? Nancy Pelosi does not finish her appointment, as she is a band-aid for the Democratic Party.
President Donald Trump: Trump finally comes into his third year of his term. The U.S. finds more acceptance with him being president and his goals for the country. I stated this in my 2016 predictions. People will accept his role and his work as President so far. His communication gets better, and believe it or not he will become more dynamic with his ideas. He will have to get creative to keep our sovereign nation on a steady path, but it will happen. He will learn to communicate better and not work in emotion, but he will always speak his truth. He’s in it to win it—another term.
Media: A 3 year/the 2019 year is all about speaking your truth with more boundaries, and not to hurt one another. You must have more grace with your words and not gossip. Some news agencies will have a hard time with this new 3 energy year!
It’s a baby girl! For Prince Harry and Meghan Markle.
Mother Nature: Everything feels very dry around the world, which always creates Earth shifts. That being said, those of you who live by these vaults could experience more shifts than usual. Get ready for hot summer seasons. Then when it does rain it goes extreme. We can’t win in the weather game this year.
Sports: Boston Red Sox for another World Series Win.
Crime Cases: The case on Steven Avery (Making a Murderer) will be reopened by April of 2019. Remember this is the year of speaking the truth, no more lies and cover-ups. This energy is perfect timing for this case to be broken up. “Let Freedom ring!” You will also see many more old/cold cases being solved. Detectives get ready to work.
For more information about Kelle Sutliff, visit https://psychicmediumkelle.com. Reported by PRWeb 2 hours ago.
BOSTON (PRWEB) December 30, 2018
Kelle Sutliff, professional psychic medium of almost 20 years, creates her predictions for 2019. Sutliff was the number 1 Google searched psychic medium for her predictions out of 1.4 million psychics in the world. She predicted Donald Trump as the 45th president in Nov. 2015. Her predictions revolve around the world, businesses, economy, politics, etc. Sutliff has a lot in store with her 2019 predictions.
“2019 is a 3 Energy year in Numerology and will not be boring by any means. It’s a year of expression and how we communicate our truth and express our truth. Honesty is the best policy and you won’t get away with any lying. The truth will always come out and communications on all levels are important. It’s a great time to be creative, expressive and have fun. It is important to have grace and honor in this expressive year” says Sutliff. https://psychicmediumkelle.com.
Sovereignty is the big word for 2019! You will see least costly strategy for governments, business and personal relationships to come together. Interdependence sovereignty of actual control over state borders will become important all over the world, not just in the United States. State taxes in AZ and TX help assist in protecting their own states, not just at the federal level. This will keep their borders safe for their state communities, and the Federal Government will be giving possible tax breaks with assistance to those communities. The whole border control system will change especially around the time frame of June. It’s not about building “a wall” it is about sovereign dignity to the people who live in the United States and other countries. All nations around the world will be building their sovereignty too.
Business: Tech companies will have a big boom, and look for mergers in this industry especially more so than usual. Companies like Facebook will start to fade out with new companies that start to trend emerge. Any business that assists the elderly is a great investment or start up venture. Look for businesses in the community that help take care of brain disorder/disability of patients to emerge. More building and construction continues around the world, as it will be booming for the next five years, so get ready for lots of delays while traveling. There will be new bridges being built everywhere around the world. It is a great time to work in the trades. Look UP! Space Exploration is on the rise for many countries. It will be competitive amongst everyone. The US will be a leader in space exploration and women scientists will be behind this.
Economy: 2019 will be known as “The Trump Economy” as the economy booms with jobs in the U.S and the GDP still rising to 3.7% or higher, people will see their investments improve. Trade sanctions will play a role in settling the market down towards the middle of the year, but slow and steady will win the race. Family income will continue to exceed and improve in the United States. You will see percentage rates soar into the 90 to 98 percent rate; something the US has not experienced in over 10 years. Jobs will be plenty, so no excuse not to work.
Europe Economy: Look at the year 1973 as this past history is similar is what happens in European countries. They need to be careful for inflation opportunities especially in United Kingdom, France, Russia and Italy. Tax breaks will help keep this at bay. The oil gas crisis was a huge indicator in France recently that the government needs to respect its people and not use them. You will see more riots/protests around the economy throughout this destabilization. The fall of 2019 objectives get better and tax breaks are given to get their economy moving. You will see more countries moving away from the aid of others and take their own sovereign nations more seriously. The United States will continue to put the U.S. first. https://psychicmediumkelle.com.
Who is out in politics?: Theresa May Prime Minister will continue her duties, but she does not finish the run. There will be a man with strong banking background to pull their economy back. He has an S in his name, possibly Sajid Javid? Nancy Pelosi does not finish her appointment, as she is a band-aid for the Democratic Party.
President Donald Trump: Trump finally comes into his third year of his term. The U.S. finds more acceptance with him being president and his goals for the country. I stated this in my 2016 predictions. People will accept his role and his work as President so far. His communication gets better, and believe it or not he will become more dynamic with his ideas. He will have to get creative to keep our sovereign nation on a steady path, but it will happen. He will learn to communicate better and not work in emotion, but he will always speak his truth. He’s in it to win it—another term.
Media: A 3 year/the 2019 year is all about speaking your truth with more boundaries, and not to hurt one another. You must have more grace with your words and not gossip. Some news agencies will have a hard time with this new 3 energy year!
It’s a baby girl! For Prince Harry and Meghan Markle.
Mother Nature: Everything feels very dry around the world, which always creates Earth shifts. That being said, those of you who live by these vaults could experience more shifts than usual. Get ready for hot summer seasons. Then when it does rain it goes extreme. We can’t win in the weather game this year.
Sports: Boston Red Sox for another World Series Win.
Crime Cases: The case on Steven Avery (Making a Murderer) will be reopened by April of 2019. Remember this is the year of speaking the truth, no more lies and cover-ups. This energy is perfect timing for this case to be broken up. “Let Freedom ring!” You will also see many more old/cold cases being solved. Detectives get ready to work.
For more information about Kelle Sutliff, visit https://psychicmediumkelle.com. Reported by PRWeb 2 hours ago.
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SNP must do more to end Scotland's drug crisis as annual drug toll spikes
Scotland’s annual drug toll is about to break the 1000 deaths mark for the first time - the largest number of overdose deaths per capita in western Europe and more than double the number of England and Wales
Reported by Daily Record 54 minutes ago.
↧
Markets: Trade policy and China are major risks – Westpac
Bill Evans, chief economist at Westpac, suggests that trade disruptions will be a certain theme through 2019.
*Key Quotes*
“We have seen that trade concerns have also weighed on the Chinese economy. Other more significant drags on Chinese growth have been winding back the shadow banking system and pollution policy. We expect credit policies, an easing in pollution restrictions and direct fiscal stimulus will all be used to maintain a managed slowdown in China. We are targeting a 6.1% growth rate in 2019 down from 6.4% in 2018.”
“Other regions are less important to the overall global view. Emerging markets will suffer under the weight of rising US interest rates and a higher USD. Japan will be preparing for the introduction of a new consumption tax. Europe will be impacted by the China/emerging markets slowdown and homegrown concerns around Brexit; Italian instability; political unrest in France and Germany; a gradual tightening of monetary policy as the ECB halts its balance sheet expansion from the beginning of 2019. European Parliamentary elections due mid year could be a focal point for many of these issues.” Reported by FXstreet.com 58 minutes ago.
*Key Quotes*
“We have seen that trade concerns have also weighed on the Chinese economy. Other more significant drags on Chinese growth have been winding back the shadow banking system and pollution policy. We expect credit policies, an easing in pollution restrictions and direct fiscal stimulus will all be used to maintain a managed slowdown in China. We are targeting a 6.1% growth rate in 2019 down from 6.4% in 2018.”
“Other regions are less important to the overall global view. Emerging markets will suffer under the weight of rising US interest rates and a higher USD. Japan will be preparing for the introduction of a new consumption tax. Europe will be impacted by the China/emerging markets slowdown and homegrown concerns around Brexit; Italian instability; political unrest in France and Germany; a gradual tightening of monetary policy as the ECB halts its balance sheet expansion from the beginning of 2019. European Parliamentary elections due mid year could be a focal point for many of these issues.” Reported by FXstreet.com 58 minutes ago.
↧
Gwynne Dyer: What went wrong in eastern Europe?
I first met Viktor Orban, the not-quite-dictator of Hungary, in 1989 in Budapest — and the man who introduced us was none other than George Soros.Orban was then a firebrand student leader, anti-Communist and keen for Hungary to...
Reported by New Zealand Herald 5 minutes ago.
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Beavers are back in Italy after an absence of nearly 500 years as big mammals rebound in Europe
Reported by Telegraph.co.uk 19 hours ago.
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Transfer news: 10 top players in Europe who could seal free moves to the Prem in January
TRANSFER NEWS: The January transfer window is about to open, and there is bound to be plenty of business taking place.
Reported by Daily Star 17 hours ago.
↧
London cinema shows Holocaust film for babies
No parents came leaving less independent babies disappointed
To Kilburn’s Kiln arts centre in London’s Brent, where the “parent and baby” film screening of holocaust documentary Back to Berlin has attracted one punter – and she’s not allowed to watch on account of her being unaccompanied by a baby. All viewers must be carrying a babe in arms or entry will be denied.
And babies should love the story of eleven modern day motor bikers on a mission to carry the Maccabiah torch from Tel Aviv to Berlin. As the synopsis informs next-year’s kindergarten intake: “Each destination on the way to Berlin holds a chilling resonance for the riders as they discover and share how their families perished, or managed to survive. They find themselves heavily protected by police in 21st century Europe where anti-Semitism once again rears its ugly head particularly in countries like Greece, Hungary and Poland. En route to Berlin, the bikers meet much diminished Jewish communities clinging on to plaques and memorials as symbols of a time gone by, and once again fearful.”
Patrizia Diemling fancied watching the film. But the 68-year-old was vorboten. She tells her local paper: “Staff told me nobody is allowed to come to the screening unless they have a babe in arms. They said I would make them [parents] feel uncomfortable.” Women und children zis vay! The elderly must go to zer exit.
A Kiln Theatre spokesperson goes on the record: “The parent and baby screenings are something we are trialling – our first was this Monday and they have been programmed in response to requests from parents within the local community.” Babies hackling their mums’ accounts, we’d wager. Reported by Anorak 17 hours ago.
To Kilburn’s Kiln arts centre in London’s Brent, where the “parent and baby” film screening of holocaust documentary Back to Berlin has attracted one punter – and she’s not allowed to watch on account of her being unaccompanied by a baby. All viewers must be carrying a babe in arms or entry will be denied.
And babies should love the story of eleven modern day motor bikers on a mission to carry the Maccabiah torch from Tel Aviv to Berlin. As the synopsis informs next-year’s kindergarten intake: “Each destination on the way to Berlin holds a chilling resonance for the riders as they discover and share how their families perished, or managed to survive. They find themselves heavily protected by police in 21st century Europe where anti-Semitism once again rears its ugly head particularly in countries like Greece, Hungary and Poland. En route to Berlin, the bikers meet much diminished Jewish communities clinging on to plaques and memorials as symbols of a time gone by, and once again fearful.”
Patrizia Diemling fancied watching the film. But the 68-year-old was vorboten. She tells her local paper: “Staff told me nobody is allowed to come to the screening unless they have a babe in arms. They said I would make them [parents] feel uncomfortable.” Women und children zis vay! The elderly must go to zer exit.
A Kiln Theatre spokesperson goes on the record: “The parent and baby screenings are something we are trialling – our first was this Monday and they have been programmed in response to requests from parents within the local community.” Babies hackling their mums’ accounts, we’d wager. Reported by Anorak 17 hours ago.
↧
Winners and losers in the 2018 UK car market
UK car sales are 5.5% lower overall than in 2017 but some manufacturers had a better year than others
Who has done well this year and which models have bombed? We sift through the new car registrations and reveal all
The final UK 2018 new-car registration figure is expected to be 2.4 million at best, a 5.5% drop on 2017 and a fall of 10.9% from the 2016 peak of just under 2.7 million.
The hope is the market will now stabilise at around 2.3 million – but much will depend on Brexit. For now, here’s the good and bad news of 2018.
*ALFA ROMEO - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.20%
· 2018 market share: 0.18%
Alfa Romeo is in the Last Chance Saloon but, unfortunately, the Stelvio appears to have passed out on the floor. Sales only just exceeded 1000 units this year – about 10% of what the Jaguar F-Pace achieves.
*ASTON MARTIN*
· 2017 market share: 0.06%
· 2018 market share: 0.06%
Now Britain’s only publicly listed car company, Aston is preparing for its next leap forward with the DBX SUV and Lagonda saloon (third time lucky after the failed 1961 Lagonda Rapide and 1976 Aston Martin Lagonda?).
*AUDI - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 6.89%
· 2018 market share: 6.18%
Audi’s sales crashed in September because a shortage of engineers meant it could not homologate its cars for the new WLTP emission standards in time. Its market share will likely recover next year.
*BENTLEY *
· 2017 market share: 0.07%
· 2018 market share: 0.07%
Is Bentley in trouble? The Bentayga was meant to sharply increase the luxury brand’s sales, yet market share is essentially no higher than before. Reports suggest that Bentley is awash with unsold examples of its SUV.
*BMW - UP*
· 2017 market share: 6.89%
· 2018 market share: 7.22%
BMW has bounced back this year, thanks to the new X2 and 5 Series. The new 3 Series (still BMW’s top seller) should give the sales numbers an even more significant boost during the course of 2019.
*CITROEN - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.03%
· 2018 market share: 2.14%
With MPVs in their death throes, Citroën is reduced to being a seller of very small cars: 66% of sales come from the C1/C3/C3 Aircross. However, the new C5 Aircross could make an impact in 2019.
*DACIA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.99%
· 2018 market share: 1.00%
Dacia has been becalmed for three years with a market share of around 1.0%. However, the new Duster’s recent arrival on the scene should give the company some increased impetus next year.
*DS - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.36%
· 2018 market share: 0.22%
DS demanding to be seen as ‘premium’ is a bit like someone endlessly demanding ‘respect’. In both cases, you have to earn it, not demand it. The brand’s big hope among a year of failure is the upcoming DS 3 Crossback.
*FERRARI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.03%
· 2018 market share: 0.04%
Not a great year for the firm, with the death of chairman Sergio Marchionne and the failure to win the Formula 1 championship. However, sales are as steady as a rock.
*FIAT - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 1.93%
· 2018 market share: 1.75%
During 2018, 500-badged models accounted for 80% of Fiat’s sales.
*FORD - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 11.31%
· 2018 market share: 10.69%
Most of Ford’s European profits have traditionally come from the UK, but with the weak pound and falling UK sales, Ford of Europe has serious issues. It continues to have the largest market share of anyone in 2018, though.
*HONDA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.12%
· 2018 market share: 2.25%
Market share has risen over the past couple of years but, with 40% of sales coming from the beige-cardigan Jazz, the image might still take a bit longer to improve.
*HYUNDAI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.68%
· 2018 market share: 3.86%
Hyundai’s steady rise continues. The key factor is that its new models are very rarely duds: this year, the Kona and Ioniq have slotted into the range, sold well and boosted overall share.
*INFINITI - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.14%
· 2018 market share: 0.03%
A tough year for Nissan’s upmarket brand. You’d have to look back a long, long way to find a European-made car that has flopped as badly as the Q30/QX30 has done. Its build quality is among the best, but its showroom appeal is precisely the opposite.
*JAGUAR - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.40%
· 2018 market share: 1.56%
The E-Pace and F-Pace are doing well but, unfortunately, the XE is looking like a poor investment: the Merc C-Class and BMW 3 Series are both outselling it five to one. The XF and aging XJ aren’t exactly flying out of dealers, either.
*JEEP - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.25%
· 2018 market share: 0.26%
In one of the world’s best 4x4 markets, the world’s most recognised 4x4 range is being outsold by the Kia Stonic – the result of distinctly average products being marketed at premium prices.
*KIA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.67%
· 2018 market share: 4.14%
Kia has the ability to sell the unlikeliest cars: its telephone-box Soul MPV is the only car in its shrinking segment actually to increase sales. Even the Optima large saloon and estate are doing decent business.
*LAND ROVER - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.25%
· 2018 market share: 3.31%
Previously untouchable Land Rover has picked up a few scratches this year. The new Velar is doing well, but the Discovery is down 25% and the Discovery Sport has fallen 20% – two vitally important volume cars.
*LEXUS - UP*
· 2017 market share 0.50%
· 2018 market share: 0.54%
There has been slight growth thanks to the NX SUV, which takes nearly 40% of sales, but almost every other model has declined. The smaller UX crossover should give Lexus a shot in the arm next year.
*LOTUS *
· 2017 market share: 0.01%
· 2018 market share: 0.01%
Lotus is really in a holding pattern while new owner Geely draws up its hugely ambitious – and exciting – investment plans. Sales are currently tiny.
*MASERATI - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.07%
· 2018 market share: 0.05%
As with the firm’s Alfa Romeo sibling and the Stelvio, 2018 was supposed to be the year that Maserati’s new Levante SUV made the long-awaited sales breakthrough. It didn’t. With nothing new on the horizon for 2019, things look decidedly bleak.
*MAZDA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.54%
· 2018 market share: 1.69%
The second-generation CX-5 (now Mazda’s bestseller) has led to a slight rise. The all-new 3 will arrive next year and should add another boost.
*MERCEDES-BENZ - UP*
· 2017 market share: 7.12%
· 2018 market share: 7.24%
After finishing 2017 as the leading German premium brand for the first time in decades, Mercedes is only very marginally ahead of BMW as this year swings to a close so 2018 will go down to the wire.
*MG - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.17%
· 2018 market share: 0.38%
It would be pushing it to say the new ZS crossover has made a breakthrough, but the figures are certainly encouraging. The ZS is selling about the same as the combined total for the Fiat 500X and Jeep Renegade.
*MINI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.68%
· 2018 market share: 2.69%
As expected, the new Countryman has boosted Mini’s market share slightly. The only new model activity scheduled for 2019 will be the electric Mini – 10 years after the first 40 prototypes were tested by UK consumers.
*MITSUBISHI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.63%
· 2018 market share: 0.87%
Just when things were going so well, the government abolished the plug-in car grant. As the Outlander was the grant’s biggest beneficiary, sales are likely to suffer in 2019.
*NISSAN - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 5.95%
· 2018 market share: 4.38%
After years of accelerating sales thanks to the Qashqai and Juke, Nissan has had a nasty shock. The Juke (sales down 35%) is now eight years old, which is pretty ancient for a fashion item.
*PEUGEOT - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.24%
· 2018 market share: 3.43%
All the growth has come from the 3008/5008 range, which has increased by 60% this year. Both models are still outsold by the Hyundai Tucson, though, demonstrating Peugeot’s shrunken presence in the UK.
*PORSCHE - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.55%
· 2018 market share: 0.50%
With UK sales of around 15,000 per year, Porsche, that well-known SUV brand, gets approximately 50% of sales from the Macan and Cayenne, 40% from the 911 and 718, and 10% from the Panamera.
*RENAULT - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 2.72%
· 2018 market share: 2.64%
A few years ago, Renault culled its UK range, dropping the Laguna, Espace, Modus and Wind. It could easily do the same again: the Mégane, Scenic, Koleos and Twingo contribute very little.
*ROLLS-ROYCE** *
· 2017 market share: 0.02%
· 2018 market share: 0.02%
Sudden changes in market share would be rather vulgar, but the Cullinan SUV could lead to a heady 0.3% share in 2019 if the growth trend of the luxury SUV segment continues.
*SEAT - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.21%
· 2018 market share: 2.70%
Sales of the Ibiza and Leon are steady so all registrations of the popular new Arona and Ateca are simply swelling the total.
*SKODA - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 3.25%
· 2018 market share: 3.12%
Skoda has said there will be no more polarising models in the style of the Yeti. It believes it can sell far more by sticking to classic, timeless styling. Logical, but rather a shame.
*SMART - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.41%
· 2018 market share: 0.33%
Mercedes’s last excuse for its Smart brand was that at least it lowered its fleet average CO2. Given that Smart now accounts for around 5% of total Daimler car sales, even that one is wearing thin.
*SSANGYONG - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.14%
· 2018 market share: 0.12%
Surely, some UK buyers have a use for the only full-sized separate-chassis 4x4 to have been launched in years? If so, Ssangyong is having trouble locating them.
*SUBARU - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.11%
· 2018 market share: 0.13%
If Subaru was a school child, it would be the quiet one that was not quite bright enough to stand out, and not quite extrovert enough to be popular. The recent axing of all of its diesels won’t help matters.
*SUZUKI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.59%
· 2018 market share: 1.64%
Suzuki’s bestsellers, the Vitara and Swift, both increased sales. The new Jimny will give Suzuki a buzz (in both senses) but it is unlikely to significantly change overall share.
*TOYOTA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 4.01%
· 2018 market share: 4.45%
The C-HR has grown Toyota’s share but there’s a lot of work for the 2019 Corolla to do. Just over half of sales still come from the low-margin Aygo and Yaris.
*VAUXHALL - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 7.68%
· 2018 market share: 7.41%
Sales of all continuing models have fallen, including the Astra (down 40%). The recent announcement of a small profit reflected asset sales as much as improved margins.
*VOLKSWAGEN - UP*
· 2017 market share: 8.21%
· 2018 market share: 8.42%
Now number two in the UK, but not because it has increased share over the past 10 years. Its semi-premium positioning means it has simply avoided the falls of mainstream rivals.
*VOLVO - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.82%
· 2018 market share: 2.09%
After nearly 20 years of struggle, Volvo is finally establishing itself as a cool, design-led alternative to German premium brands.
*It was a good year to be selling…*
*Luxury SUVs:* Up by 20%, helped by the new Range Rover Velar and BMW X5.
*Small crossovers:* B-segment models like the Seat Arona were up 19%. Almost all manufacturers experienced growth.
*Executive saloons and estates:* Surprisingly, these increased market share slightly, with the Volvo S90/V90 in the vanguard.
*It was a bad year to be selling…*
*Anything made by Fiat Chrysler Automobiles:* Fiat and Alfa were down 15% and Maserati dropped 20%. Jeep fell a moderate 6%, but only because its 2017 baseline was so low.
*Non-premium family hatchbacks:* Models like the Ford Focus fell by 15% as buyers switched to cars like the Mercedes A-Class and crossovers.
*MPVs of any size:* Small models like the Citroën C3 Picasso dropped by 60%, mid-sized ones like the Ford C-Max dropped 30%, and full-sized MPVs fell 35%.
*Read more*
*The 10 best-selling cars in Britain*
*Alfa Romeo Stelvio Quadrifoglio 2018 review*
*New Cars 2018/2019: What's coming and when?* Reported by Autocar 2 hours ago.
Who has done well this year and which models have bombed? We sift through the new car registrations and reveal all
The final UK 2018 new-car registration figure is expected to be 2.4 million at best, a 5.5% drop on 2017 and a fall of 10.9% from the 2016 peak of just under 2.7 million.
The hope is the market will now stabilise at around 2.3 million – but much will depend on Brexit. For now, here’s the good and bad news of 2018.
*ALFA ROMEO - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.20%
· 2018 market share: 0.18%
Alfa Romeo is in the Last Chance Saloon but, unfortunately, the Stelvio appears to have passed out on the floor. Sales only just exceeded 1000 units this year – about 10% of what the Jaguar F-Pace achieves.
*ASTON MARTIN*
· 2017 market share: 0.06%
· 2018 market share: 0.06%
Now Britain’s only publicly listed car company, Aston is preparing for its next leap forward with the DBX SUV and Lagonda saloon (third time lucky after the failed 1961 Lagonda Rapide and 1976 Aston Martin Lagonda?).
*AUDI - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 6.89%
· 2018 market share: 6.18%
Audi’s sales crashed in September because a shortage of engineers meant it could not homologate its cars for the new WLTP emission standards in time. Its market share will likely recover next year.
*BENTLEY *
· 2017 market share: 0.07%
· 2018 market share: 0.07%
Is Bentley in trouble? The Bentayga was meant to sharply increase the luxury brand’s sales, yet market share is essentially no higher than before. Reports suggest that Bentley is awash with unsold examples of its SUV.
*BMW - UP*
· 2017 market share: 6.89%
· 2018 market share: 7.22%
BMW has bounced back this year, thanks to the new X2 and 5 Series. The new 3 Series (still BMW’s top seller) should give the sales numbers an even more significant boost during the course of 2019.
*CITROEN - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.03%
· 2018 market share: 2.14%
With MPVs in their death throes, Citroën is reduced to being a seller of very small cars: 66% of sales come from the C1/C3/C3 Aircross. However, the new C5 Aircross could make an impact in 2019.
*DACIA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.99%
· 2018 market share: 1.00%
Dacia has been becalmed for three years with a market share of around 1.0%. However, the new Duster’s recent arrival on the scene should give the company some increased impetus next year.
*DS - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.36%
· 2018 market share: 0.22%
DS demanding to be seen as ‘premium’ is a bit like someone endlessly demanding ‘respect’. In both cases, you have to earn it, not demand it. The brand’s big hope among a year of failure is the upcoming DS 3 Crossback.
*FERRARI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.03%
· 2018 market share: 0.04%
Not a great year for the firm, with the death of chairman Sergio Marchionne and the failure to win the Formula 1 championship. However, sales are as steady as a rock.
*FIAT - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 1.93%
· 2018 market share: 1.75%
During 2018, 500-badged models accounted for 80% of Fiat’s sales.
*FORD - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 11.31%
· 2018 market share: 10.69%
Most of Ford’s European profits have traditionally come from the UK, but with the weak pound and falling UK sales, Ford of Europe has serious issues. It continues to have the largest market share of anyone in 2018, though.
*HONDA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.12%
· 2018 market share: 2.25%
Market share has risen over the past couple of years but, with 40% of sales coming from the beige-cardigan Jazz, the image might still take a bit longer to improve.
*HYUNDAI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.68%
· 2018 market share: 3.86%
Hyundai’s steady rise continues. The key factor is that its new models are very rarely duds: this year, the Kona and Ioniq have slotted into the range, sold well and boosted overall share.
*INFINITI - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.14%
· 2018 market share: 0.03%
A tough year for Nissan’s upmarket brand. You’d have to look back a long, long way to find a European-made car that has flopped as badly as the Q30/QX30 has done. Its build quality is among the best, but its showroom appeal is precisely the opposite.
*JAGUAR - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.40%
· 2018 market share: 1.56%
The E-Pace and F-Pace are doing well but, unfortunately, the XE is looking like a poor investment: the Merc C-Class and BMW 3 Series are both outselling it five to one. The XF and aging XJ aren’t exactly flying out of dealers, either.
*JEEP - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.25%
· 2018 market share: 0.26%
In one of the world’s best 4x4 markets, the world’s most recognised 4x4 range is being outsold by the Kia Stonic – the result of distinctly average products being marketed at premium prices.
*KIA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.67%
· 2018 market share: 4.14%
Kia has the ability to sell the unlikeliest cars: its telephone-box Soul MPV is the only car in its shrinking segment actually to increase sales. Even the Optima large saloon and estate are doing decent business.
*LAND ROVER - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.25%
· 2018 market share: 3.31%
Previously untouchable Land Rover has picked up a few scratches this year. The new Velar is doing well, but the Discovery is down 25% and the Discovery Sport has fallen 20% – two vitally important volume cars.
*LEXUS - UP*
· 2017 market share 0.50%
· 2018 market share: 0.54%
There has been slight growth thanks to the NX SUV, which takes nearly 40% of sales, but almost every other model has declined. The smaller UX crossover should give Lexus a shot in the arm next year.
*LOTUS *
· 2017 market share: 0.01%
· 2018 market share: 0.01%
Lotus is really in a holding pattern while new owner Geely draws up its hugely ambitious – and exciting – investment plans. Sales are currently tiny.
*MASERATI - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.07%
· 2018 market share: 0.05%
As with the firm’s Alfa Romeo sibling and the Stelvio, 2018 was supposed to be the year that Maserati’s new Levante SUV made the long-awaited sales breakthrough. It didn’t. With nothing new on the horizon for 2019, things look decidedly bleak.
*MAZDA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.54%
· 2018 market share: 1.69%
The second-generation CX-5 (now Mazda’s bestseller) has led to a slight rise. The all-new 3 will arrive next year and should add another boost.
*MERCEDES-BENZ - UP*
· 2017 market share: 7.12%
· 2018 market share: 7.24%
After finishing 2017 as the leading German premium brand for the first time in decades, Mercedes is only very marginally ahead of BMW as this year swings to a close so 2018 will go down to the wire.
*MG - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.17%
· 2018 market share: 0.38%
It would be pushing it to say the new ZS crossover has made a breakthrough, but the figures are certainly encouraging. The ZS is selling about the same as the combined total for the Fiat 500X and Jeep Renegade.
*MINI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.68%
· 2018 market share: 2.69%
As expected, the new Countryman has boosted Mini’s market share slightly. The only new model activity scheduled for 2019 will be the electric Mini – 10 years after the first 40 prototypes were tested by UK consumers.
*MITSUBISHI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.63%
· 2018 market share: 0.87%
Just when things were going so well, the government abolished the plug-in car grant. As the Outlander was the grant’s biggest beneficiary, sales are likely to suffer in 2019.
*NISSAN - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 5.95%
· 2018 market share: 4.38%
After years of accelerating sales thanks to the Qashqai and Juke, Nissan has had a nasty shock. The Juke (sales down 35%) is now eight years old, which is pretty ancient for a fashion item.
*PEUGEOT - UP*
· 2017 market share: 3.24%
· 2018 market share: 3.43%
All the growth has come from the 3008/5008 range, which has increased by 60% this year. Both models are still outsold by the Hyundai Tucson, though, demonstrating Peugeot’s shrunken presence in the UK.
*PORSCHE - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.55%
· 2018 market share: 0.50%
With UK sales of around 15,000 per year, Porsche, that well-known SUV brand, gets approximately 50% of sales from the Macan and Cayenne, 40% from the 911 and 718, and 10% from the Panamera.
*RENAULT - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 2.72%
· 2018 market share: 2.64%
A few years ago, Renault culled its UK range, dropping the Laguna, Espace, Modus and Wind. It could easily do the same again: the Mégane, Scenic, Koleos and Twingo contribute very little.
*ROLLS-ROYCE** *
· 2017 market share: 0.02%
· 2018 market share: 0.02%
Sudden changes in market share would be rather vulgar, but the Cullinan SUV could lead to a heady 0.3% share in 2019 if the growth trend of the luxury SUV segment continues.
*SEAT - UP*
· 2017 market share: 2.21%
· 2018 market share: 2.70%
Sales of the Ibiza and Leon are steady so all registrations of the popular new Arona and Ateca are simply swelling the total.
*SKODA - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 3.25%
· 2018 market share: 3.12%
Skoda has said there will be no more polarising models in the style of the Yeti. It believes it can sell far more by sticking to classic, timeless styling. Logical, but rather a shame.
*SMART - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.41%
· 2018 market share: 0.33%
Mercedes’s last excuse for its Smart brand was that at least it lowered its fleet average CO2. Given that Smart now accounts for around 5% of total Daimler car sales, even that one is wearing thin.
*SSANGYONG - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 0.14%
· 2018 market share: 0.12%
Surely, some UK buyers have a use for the only full-sized separate-chassis 4x4 to have been launched in years? If so, Ssangyong is having trouble locating them.
*SUBARU - UP*
· 2017 market share: 0.11%
· 2018 market share: 0.13%
If Subaru was a school child, it would be the quiet one that was not quite bright enough to stand out, and not quite extrovert enough to be popular. The recent axing of all of its diesels won’t help matters.
*SUZUKI - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.59%
· 2018 market share: 1.64%
Suzuki’s bestsellers, the Vitara and Swift, both increased sales. The new Jimny will give Suzuki a buzz (in both senses) but it is unlikely to significantly change overall share.
*TOYOTA - UP*
· 2017 market share: 4.01%
· 2018 market share: 4.45%
The C-HR has grown Toyota’s share but there’s a lot of work for the 2019 Corolla to do. Just over half of sales still come from the low-margin Aygo and Yaris.
*VAUXHALL - DOWN*
· 2017 market share: 7.68%
· 2018 market share: 7.41%
Sales of all continuing models have fallen, including the Astra (down 40%). The recent announcement of a small profit reflected asset sales as much as improved margins.
*VOLKSWAGEN - UP*
· 2017 market share: 8.21%
· 2018 market share: 8.42%
Now number two in the UK, but not because it has increased share over the past 10 years. Its semi-premium positioning means it has simply avoided the falls of mainstream rivals.
*VOLVO - UP*
· 2017 market share: 1.82%
· 2018 market share: 2.09%
After nearly 20 years of struggle, Volvo is finally establishing itself as a cool, design-led alternative to German premium brands.
*It was a good year to be selling…*
*Luxury SUVs:* Up by 20%, helped by the new Range Rover Velar and BMW X5.
*Small crossovers:* B-segment models like the Seat Arona were up 19%. Almost all manufacturers experienced growth.
*Executive saloons and estates:* Surprisingly, these increased market share slightly, with the Volvo S90/V90 in the vanguard.
*It was a bad year to be selling…*
*Anything made by Fiat Chrysler Automobiles:* Fiat and Alfa were down 15% and Maserati dropped 20%. Jeep fell a moderate 6%, but only because its 2017 baseline was so low.
*Non-premium family hatchbacks:* Models like the Ford Focus fell by 15% as buyers switched to cars like the Mercedes A-Class and crossovers.
*MPVs of any size:* Small models like the Citroën C3 Picasso dropped by 60%, mid-sized ones like the Ford C-Max dropped 30%, and full-sized MPVs fell 35%.
*Read more*
*The 10 best-selling cars in Britain*
*Alfa Romeo Stelvio Quadrifoglio 2018 review*
*New Cars 2018/2019: What's coming and when?* Reported by Autocar 2 hours ago.
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